Pre-draft tradesa light year, and Jordan still didn't know what a keeper was
Light year for trades. Ever since we invented pre-draft keeper trading there's always been a good amount of movement, and this year we only got two real ones. But i knew it'd be a good year the second i saw Jordan trade away a 5th just to keep Jaxson Dart with a 7th — not that much better than where Dart probably would've gone anyway. My favorite part: Jordan texting me afterward that he didn't even know what a keeper was before. Makes sense. Only time AB can get a trade win is when he's taking advantage of somebody who doesn't know what's going on.
Salmaan, universally lambasted by the whole group, shipped a 5th for a 9th just to buy the opportunity to take the first pick of the draft — obviously wanting Jahmyr Gibbs. Honestly would've thought this was a pretty shitty trade given how good it seemed like everybody was willing to draft anywhere; having your last pick wouldn't have put you in that bad of a spot. But getting the best RB on the board probably feels really good when there are shitty running backs everywhere.
The rest of us just moved bad draft equity around, myself included — traded away a 7th just to fumble again in the playoffs. Ahmad's Habibis flipped Derrick Henry money into Travis Etienne in their 7th, who then scored less than Etienne down the stretch. And Chan, who fucked himself going all in for Trey McBride for no reason when he didn't even have a chance last season.
The numbers, for the record: tsao and Lil_fellatio came out furthest ahead on pure capital (+114 and +107) — each turned a near-dead late pick into somebody else's live round 7… and then reached with it (Courtland Sutton −20, Chuba Hubbard −19). Capital up, execution down. The two who bled the most were me (−114) and Disappointment (−111), both selling a live 2026 R7 for future/dead paper. Team AB shows +50 but paid Jaxson Dart to do it; Bhuh shows −50 but that's how he got Dart. Salmaan's +55 is partly just him yanking a 2027 pick into this year. And the loudest own-goal of the whole thing: Salmaan reaching ~29 spots on Jordan Mason with the exact 9th he acquired in the headline deal.
Keeper valuesthe field is flattening out
This year was a big shift in keepers for the league. Nobody had that crazy of a value — we're starting to see things flatten out, guys just getting taken a few rounds above where they'd normally go. Teams don't have that many options, nor good ones to make big trades for.
Salmaan got roasted last year for quitting early and trading his season away just to get the keeper pick, and there didn't even look to be that many good options — i didn't know what the fuck he was going to take. But Chase Brown in the 9th (+70) is pretty good. Probably the safest, lowest-risk keeper in the league. The two other good ones: AB with Bucky in the 14th — a top-50 back for zero risk, easily the best keep in the league by a mile (+112) — and Bo Nix in the 9th (+55) for tsao, a mid-round guy you're getting for free.
This is the first year guys just got taken 10–20 spots above cost. My own JSN barely got a discount, what, pick 21? Drake Maye, big one, still only two-ish rounds above where he should've gone. Caleb and Kenneth Walker, second-third rounders taken in the third — right at cost. No egregiously bad keepers though. Even for as mid a field as it was, everybody had something decent.
Team by team, in draft order
1.01very chinese time of life (Salmaan)
kind of looks like an A
A #1startable2072
R1·1Jahmyr GibbsRBDET · 301
R2·24Jalen HurtsQBPHI · 296
R3·25Trey McBrideTEARI · 188
R4·48Patrick MahomesQBKC · 287
R6·72DJ MooreWRBUF · 148
R7·73Christian WatsonWRGB · 176
R7·82⇄DK MetcalfWRPIT · 152
R8·96Alec PierceWRIND · 151
R9·97Chase BrownRBCIN · 229
R9·105⇄Jordan MasonRBMIN · 145
R10·120Kyle MonangaiRBCHI · 144
R11·121Josh JacobsRBGB · 81
R12·144Khalil ShakirWRBUF · 135
R13·145Fernando MendozaQBLV · 211
R14·168Denver BroncosDEFDEN · —
R15·169Ka'imi FairbairnKHOU · —
R16·192Brian RobinsonRBATL · 63
I fed Claude the entire league group chat and it called Salmaan a pick-swap merchant. Can't say it's wrong — he had the most shit coming in. But a lot of years he does some retarded shit, and this year actually looks pretty good.
Love Jalen Hurts at the back half of the second. Trey McBride's a little sketchy — new OC in Arizona — but i see where the love came from last year, and he really hammered it in taking two QBs (Hurts, Mahomes) in his first four picks while also going tight end. Interesting, given previous drafts where he went ham on wideouts. This year's receivers — DJ Moore, Alec Pierce, Christian Watson — all losers, but they're the WR1s of their own teams, so how much is there to hate?
What's scary is Josh Jacobs in the 11th (pick 121, +82 vs ADP) — the biggest value in the draft, even if Claude's too retarded to know it's not that good until maybe game 8 with the holdout flag. If Jacobs reports, he might have the best RB trio in the league between Gibbs, Jacobs, and Chase Brown. Tough to beat. Kyle Monangai, straight loser, otherwise didn't do much late. Unconventional, but solid. A.
startable value (all bars share one scale)league median for that positionnumber atop bar = this team's projected points#rank across 12 · ■top 3 ■middle ■bottom 3
QBA-Hurts/MahomesRBAGibbs + Chase BrownWRBDJ Moore/Pierce/Watson, all their teams' WR1sTEAMcBride carries it
1.02Mature Men (Eric & Brunts)
the young boys phase is over
#2startable2048
R1·2Bijan RobinsonRBATL · 295
R2·23A.J. BrownWRNE · 208
R3·26Drake MayeQBNE · 316
R4·47Luther BurdenWRCHI · 173
R5·50David MontgomeryRBHOU · 191
R6·71Mike EvansWRSF · 187
R7·74Parker WashingtonWRJAX · 176
R8·95Jonathon BrooksRBCAR · 139
R9·98Jacoby BrissettQBARI · 161
R10·119Romeo DoubsWRNE · 133
R11·122George KittleTESF · 138
R12·143Geno SmithQBNYJ · 224
R13·146Jordyn TysonWRNO · 90
R14·167Dallas GoedertTEPHI · 110
R15·170Philadelphia EaglesDEFPHI · —
R16·191Eddy PineiroKSF · —
No surprise Eric decided to grow up a little now that he's got a one-and-a-half-year-old daughter. Little surprising it took a full year to realize he's a mature man. Doesn't even reflect his team though — still a ton of YNs on there: Bijan, Parker Washington, Luther Burden, Drake Maye, even Jonathan Brooks. All 24 and under, all outside my dating range.
He wised up and filled the gaps instead of going 100% all-in on young boys — AJ Brown, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, good filler. Drake Maye was low-key one of the best keepers by ADP. They punted QB too far though — took Jacoby slightly early after getting hoodwinked out of Malik by me, then ended with Geno in the late 12th. Looks like shit, but low-key the exact strategy i was trying to run; those two might be sneaky productive. If this was the year to punt QB, that's how you do it.
Thin at RB — only three (Bijan, Montgomery, Brooks), and i don't even know if Brooks is playable off the ACL. Montgomery's a sneaky pick, might just be a touchdown vulture with Woody Marks catching balls, but even that's kind of beast. Receiver room's loaded: Evans as the WR3, Parker Washington in the flex, Luther Burden a big question mark that everyone in fantasy just wants to get on their knees for. Juicy team. YNs out of focus, plenty of good old boys to fill in.
Sleeper's own age breakdown confirms it: Mature Men aren't just the oldest team, they're the oldest by a landslide — 29.1 median, a full year-plus clear of the field. Eric and Brunts didn't draft a roster, they drafted a retirement home with a good WR corps.
startable value (all bars share one scale)league median for that positionnumber atop bar = this team's projected points#rank across 12 · ■top 3 ■middle ■bottom 3
QBBMaye/Jacoby, the punt — not that in on MayeRBA-Bijan/Montgomery/Brooks light, but Montgomery's dueWRA-AJ Brown/Burden/Evans, thick and highly paid
1.03mid guy tsao (Jon & Belling)
the league has a new gayest couple
B / B- #12startable1964
R1·3Puka NacuaWRLAR · 260
R2·22Jeremiyah LoveRBARI · 189
R3·27Kyren WilliamsRBLAR · 194
R4·46Tee HigginsWRCIN · 187
R5·51Colston LovelandTECHI · 173
R6·70Daniel JonesQBIND · 222
R7·75Rhamondre StevensonRBNE · 156
R7·76⇄Courtland SuttonWRDEN · 145
R8·94Bryce YoungQBCAR · 233
R9·99Bo NixQBDEN · 291
R10·118Michael PittmanWRPIT · 136
R11·123MarShawn LloydRBGB · 139
R12·142Rachaad WhiteRBWAS · 112
R13·147Cameron DickerKLAC · —
R14·166Tre TuckerWRLV · 103
R15·171Pittsburgh SteelersDEFPIT · —
Sorry Chan, your reign is over. Gayest guy in the league no longer belongs to you and Coop — between the matching earrings and Belling moving to Silver Lake, the crown is firmly Belling and John's. Those late-night strategy calls are bound to turn into hot gay guy walks to Joe & the Juice: oh hey look, it's John and the Jew. When i brought Belling in i thought it was for a Jewish diversity requirement; instead we got the league's first official LGBT co-ownership.
Onto the actual draft. A little surprised they didn't go Josh Allen — seems like John's allergic to taking Josh Allen even when he can (had the first pick once, blew it on Mahomes, still hasn't learned). The Jeremiyah Love pick i made fun of but honestly don't think it's that bad — or that good; generational talent behind a shitty offense always gets dragged down (see Ashton Jeanty last year). Kyren should be fine — every year they think it's the end and the guy just gets 20 carries and falls into the end zone. Reliable foundation.
No idea what the fuck they were doing at QB. Daniel Jones at pick 70 (−38, the single biggest reach of the draft), two rounds too early, guy coming off an ACL. Bryce Young too — one of the saddest QB rooms in the league right now, and it cost real capital between a 6th and an 8th. Did well on the back end though — MarShawn Lloyd in the 11th is a major steal, probably only known about because Salmaan took Jacobs two picks earlier, but you still get credit. Chan says that was definitely a Belling pick — already providing value. Draft looks so mid — Pittman and Tre Tucker as your WR3s — but the RB back-end saves it. B / B-.
startable value (all bars share one scale)league median for that positionnumber atop bar = this team's projected points#rank across 12 · ■top 3 ■middle ■bottom 3
QBADaniel Jones/Bo Nix/Bryce Young, straight badRBCLove/Kyren/MarShawn, depth-filled, one of the better roomsWRC+Puka/Higgins/Pittman/SuttonTEBColston Loveland, iffy for a 5th
1.04Commissioner Negooyen (me)
a self-graded B
B #9startable1973
R1·4Josh AllenQBBUF · 342
R2·21Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRSEA · 236
R3·28Brock BowersTELV · 204
R4·45Jaylen WaddleWRDEN · 182
R5·52D'Andre SwiftRBCHI · 190
R6·69Jadarian PriceRBSEA · 162
R8·93Malik WillisQBMIA · 262
R9·100Chris GodwinWRTB · 140
R10·117Stefon DiggsWRWAS · 125
R11·124Kenny GainwellRBTB · 130
R12·141Zach CharbonnetRBSEA · 63
R13·148Jalen McMillanWRTB · 105
R14·165Najee HarrisRBNYG · 24
R15·172Kaleb JohnsonRBGB · 30
R16·189Los Angeles ChargersDEFLAC · —
R16·190⇄Tua TagovailoaQBATL · 96
Down a 7th this year. Really embarrassing going all-in when it was supposed to be my year and not even making the finals — very loser behavior. Let me pull my shit up. Getting Josh Allen at 4 feels pretty sweet, though I regret nerfing QB rushing TDs, since he's about the second-biggest beneficiary of that rule after Jalen Hurts. JSN at pick 21 is honestly bad keeper value. Pretty questionable to go Brock Bowers at 3-4 — did zero research, the draft guide I bought just said buy Brock, so I bought Brock. Don't even really like the Jalen Waddle pick I made the next round; I was just way too pussy to take Luther Burden, even though he's way swaggier. A little too much vino, a few too many Asian beers, so I just took whatever the guide said.
Fifth-sixth round I got super lucky — thought I was about to get railed at zero-RB but I'm pretty satisfied with De'Andre Swift and Jadarian Price, especially after the Sharpe news came out. Chan was lamenting he could've fucked me if he'd taken Swift instead — and he would have. My 7th turned out to be Waddle's backup, so I don't feel that bad shipping it to Sal after all. Malik Willis as QB2 in the 8th is a big, scary risk, but if any rushing QB pans out it's that archetype. Chris Godwin in the 9th is sneaky good; Stefon Diggs a pretty lazy pick. Draft would've been perfect if I'd hit MarShawn Lloyd instead of Kenny Gainwell — pretty upset about that one. Rest of the picks are loser-tier, but it doesn't look that bad all things considered. B.
startable value (all bars share one scale)league median for that positionnumber atop bar = this team's projected points#rank across 12 · ■top 3 ■middle ■bottom 3
QBB+Josh Allen's just that goodRBB-Swift/Price/Gainwell, pretty fucking badWRB+JSN/Waddle/Godwin/Diggs, McMillan for insuranceTEA+Brock Bowers is basically a WR1
1.05Lil_fellatio69 (Kerry & Amato)
pretty solid, actually
B / B+ #5startable1998
R1·5Ja'Marr ChaseWRCIN · 258
R2·20Ashton JeantyRBLV · 213
R3·29Breece HallRBNYJ · 194
R4·44Brock PurdyQBSF · 300
R5·53Davante AdamsWRLAR · 161
R6·68Tyler ShoughQBNO · 268
R7·77Marvin HarrisonWRARI · 155
R7·81⇄Chuba HubbardRBCAR · 138
R8·92Jordan AddisonWRMIN · 142
R9·101Quinshon JudkinsRBCLE · 181
R10·116Cam WardQBTEN · 228
R11·125Jalen CokerWRCAR · 136
R12·140Chris RodriguezRBJAX · 126
R13·149Jake FergusonTEDAL · 126
R14·164Dylan SampsonRBCLE · 78
R15·173Kaelon BlackRBSF · 39
Was a little worried when Kerry didn't show to draft — the whole Amato–Kerry split is that Kerry drafts and Amato does everything else in-season, so if Kerry's not drafting i don't know what value he's providing. Anybody who's been in the group chat with the two of them can attest it takes about five minutes before you kick Kerry out and just talk to Amato directly.
Amato did a decent job. Receiver's strong — Ja'Marr Chase plus Davante Adams. Can't believe they went back to Marvin Harrison Jr; don't know how many texts exist between those two calling MHJ a big ugly slur. Jordan Addison decent, like Jalen Coker a little. RB solid — Ashton Jeanty (don't like him, supposed to be a dog) and Breece Hall, probably the last good back in that tier before it drops off, on top of Quinshon, maybe the worst keeper in the draft this year. No way he takes Tyler Shough in the 6th if he weren't on the fantasy pod all offseason — surprised he went back to that well, but he's serviceable, and Cam Ward's decent insurance on the back end. B / B+. Should be fine this year.
Amato apparently took the wheel this year, and it shows — Lil_fellatio came out the youngest team in the league (25.7 avg). Reads like a man dragging the franchise back to its YN roots: get the kids in, bury the Kerry-era vets.
startable value (all bars share one scale)league median for that positionnumber atop bar = this team's projected points#rank across 12 · ■top 3 ■middle ■bottom 3
QBB-Purdy/Shough/WardRBA-Jeanty/Breece/Chuba/QuinshonWRA-Chase/Davante/MHJ/Addison/Coker, pretty fucking strongTEC- to B-Jake Ferguson, decent last year
1.06Korean robert deniro (Bhuh, but really Jordan now)
the autodraft savant lives on
B+ #10startable1972
R1·6Christian McCaffreyRBSF · 258
R2·19Jayden DanielsQBWAS · 300
R3·30Drake LondonWRATL · 205
R4·43Tetairoa McMillanWRCAR · 184
R6·67Jameson WilliamsWRDET · 176
R7·78Jaxson DartQBNYG · 288
R8·91Jaylen WarrenRBPIT · 155
R9·102Harold FanninTECLE · 143
R9·104⇄Michael WilsonWRARI · 136
R10·115RJ HarveyRBDEN · 127
R11·126Travis KelceTEKC · 136
R12·139Rashid ShaheedWRSEA · 117
R13·150Aaron JonesRBMIN · 121
R14·163Seattle SeahawksDEFSEA · —
R15·174Cam LittleKJAX · —
R16·187Jalen NailorWRLV · 108
Hate to give credit where it's due, but i miss Bhuh and i really don't like that Jordan's drafting for him nowadays. After a season fully under his belt this is Jordan's team now, and it honestly looks good. Even though he didn't know he was fucking himself with the 6th pick, getting CMC — probably the best back on par with the top two — was right. Followed with Jayden Daniels, a sneaky pick, don't know how he came up with it; maybe Jordan decided to do research for once.
Then straight swag at receiver: Drake London, Tetairoa McMillan, Jameson Williams in the 3-4-6, Rashid Shaheed in the 12th, Michael Wilson in the 9th. Loaded up on swaggy wideouts. Fucked himself slightly at RB but salvaged it — Jaylen Warren in the 8th is solid (might get cucked by Rico Dowdle), RJ Harvey in the 10th good value. Not sure why he went double tight end (Fannin, then Kelce in the 11th), but how bad is Kelce in the 11th really? Could've used one more insurance back — nitpicking. There's one less complete retard in the league and that's not what i needed. Good job Jordan. Aside from not knowing what you were doing on the Dart pick, you didn't fuck up that bad, and the rest was good. B+.
startable value (all bars share one scale)league median for that positionnumber atop bar = this team's projected points#rank across 12 · ■top 3 ■middle ■bottom 3
QBB+Jayden Daniels + Jaxson Dart, make-or-break yearRBB+CMC/Warren/Harvey/Aaron Jones, good swingsWRA-London/McMillan/Jameson/Wilson/Shaheed, close to an A
1.07YCheeks Inshallah (Hunter)
the fandom draft
B #6startable1990
R1·7Joe BurrowQBCIN · 305
R2·18Derrick HenryRBBAL · 240
R3·31Nico CollinsWRHOU · 220
R4·42DeVonta SmithWRPHI · 189
R5·55Baker MayfieldQBTB · 275
R6·66Bhayshul TutenRBJAX · 160
R7·79C.J. StroudQBHOU · 247
R8·90Ladd McConkeyWRLAC · 188
R9·103Rico DowdleRBPIT · 143
R10·114Blake CorumRBLAR · 129
R11·127Jakobi MeyersWRJAX · 137
R12·138Tyjae SpearsRBTEN · 98
R13·151Mark AndrewsTEBAL · 132
R14·162Denzel BostonWRCLE · 108
R15·175Omar CooperWRNYJ · 105
R16·186Tre' HarrisWRLAC · 93
Seventh pick, didn't get fucked that bad — pretty sweet place to be. Starts with Joey B, then more importantly grabs Stroud Boy in the 7th, locked up for two years and finally back where he rightfully belongs. It'll be so nice hearing Hunter both defend CJ's mid-ass performances all year and suffer from them in fantasy. Gets a Nico Collins stack, love that for him — this is a fandom year, just grab all your local boys. DeVonta Smith honestly one of my favorites from this draft, big target for me. Nico / DeVonta / Ladd might be one of the better receiver rooms — won't boom, won't bust.
RBs a little interesting, not sexy to say the least. Derrick Henry in the second is the definition of stable — old, not really washed, big enough to fall in the end zone, but kind of not that guy anymore. Etienne's a mystery, who knows what's going on in Jacksonville; like the Rico Dowdle and Blake Corum darts.
Was really surprised to hear Hunter broke up with his girlfriend earlier this year. If there's one thing i've learned about him through this league, he has an unwavering commitment to low-quality people — Ty'Son Spears makes the roster for a third straight year and this girl couldn't even make it 10 months. After going through six teams here, nobody really looks that sick. Straight B.
startable value (all bars share one scale)league median for that positionnumber atop bar = this team's projected points#rank across 12 · ■top 3 ■middle ■bottom 3
QBA-Burrow/Baker/Stroud, one of the better rooms, but a lot of capitalRBBHenry/Dowdle/Corum/Bigsby, depth, no clear leadWRA-Nico/DeVonta/Ladd, productive but no elite-eliteTEC-Mark Andrews, at least no draft capital
1.08Team AB (Adam)
all dumbasses, somehow an A-
A- #3startable2020
R1·8Lamar JacksonQBBAL · 320
R2·17Omarion HamptonRBLAC · 221
R3·32Rashee RiceWRKC · 186
R4·41Zay FlowersWRBAL · 189
R5·54⇄Cam SkatteboRBNYG · 181
R5·56Garrett WilsonWRNYJ · 183
R6·65Sam DarnoldQBSEA · 262
R7·80Sam LaPortaTEDET · 158
R8·89Makai LemonWRPHI · 138
R10·113De'Zhaun StriblingWRSF · 105
R11·128Wan'Dale RobinsonWRTEN · 135
R12·137Los Angeles RamsDEFLAR · —
R13·152Aaron RodgersQBPIT · 179
R14·161Bucky IrvingRBTB · 181
R15·176Tank BigsbyRBPHI · 62
R16·185Chris BoswellKPIT · —
AB said he just wanted middle choice, second-to-last, and got what he wanted. Honestly a good spot — Lamar at the 8th is a bargain (i was planning to take him at 4 if Josh Allen didn't fall). Light on RB on paper, but that's because he opens with Bucky (the best keeper in the league), uses the 2nd on Omarion Hampton — awesome under McDaniel — and cashes the 5th he got from the Dart trade into Skattebo 2, a high-value swap that worked out. Only problem is John Harbaugh hates retards like Skattebo, but you get off the Dart train and onto the Skattebo train, funner piece of the Giants anyway, cultural slam dunk.
The rest went to receiver. No remorse on Rashee Rice in the 3rd — doesn't care about people who speed and crash cars, no moral compass on AB. Zay Flowers and Garrett Wilson, two of the funnest 25-year-old wideouts out there, a little too swaggy for an AB team. Also grabs Makai Lemon — truly picks up any retard out there. No high-IQ guys on the skill team, which is why he really invested in Sam Darnold, Sam LaPorta, and Aaron Rodgers as the backup QB to contain the retardness. Oh, and the 9th i gave away in the Dart deal was Michael Wilson — not a big loss given how many receivers he's got. Deep at WR, solid RBs with upside, Darnold/Rodgers fine as QB2, and you just start Lamar, who won't even get punished by the touchdown rule since he never scores touchdowns anyway. Hate to say it — A-.
Sleeper clocked Adam at 55s a pick, 50 on the median — dude burned nearly the entire clock on damn near every selection. That's not deliberation, that's insecurity. Years of doing this and he still needs the full sixty to convince himself he isn't fucking it up.
startable value (all bars share one scale)league median for that positionnumber atop bar = this team's projected points#rank across 12 · ■top 3 ■middle ■bottom 3
QBA-Lamar/Darnold/RodgersRBB+Omarion/Skattebo/Bucky/Bigsby, gotta prove itWRA-Rashee/Zay/Garrett/Lemon/Stripling, solid but no elite ceiling
1.09DoubleDyke Hotel (Chan & Cooper)
a messy C+
C+ #4startable2000
R1·9Amon-Ra St. BrownWRDET · 228
R2·16De'Von AchaneRBMIA · 232
R3·33Malik NabersWRNYG · 194
R4·40Trevor LawrenceQBJAX · 296
R5·49⇄Emeka EgbukaWRTB · 186
R5·57Tyler WarrenTEIND · 160
R6·64Kyler MurrayQBMIN · 280
R8·88Matthew GoldenWRGB · 141
R10·112Javonte WilliamsRBDAL · 194
R11·129Mike WashingtonRBLV · 90
R12·136KC ConcepcionWRCLE · 128
R13·153Keenan AllenWRIND · 85
R14·160Cyrus AllenWRKC · 78
R15·177Juwan JohnsonTENO · 113
R16·184Jacksonville JaguarsDEFJAX · —
R16·188⇄Evan McPhersonKCIN · —
Gotta give it to the Dykes, i don't really understand them. Traded back out of their pick, got the 5th from Salmaan — basically a 4th at 5.01 — and the 9th they gave is basically a 10th. Good lead-up. Don't think they drafted that well though. Amon-Ra St. Brown in the 9th is the last of the round-1 receivers but clearly a step below the other two. Achane as RB1 is a little sus without McDaniel in that shitty Dolphins offense; Malik Nabers in round 3 off the ACL, sketch.
Their middle rounds are where it gets interesting — and not good. Trevor Lawrence, Emeka Egbuka on the Salmaan pick in the 5th, Tyler Warren at 5, then reach up for Kyler Murray in the 6th. The whole middle dedicated to QB-QB-TE. That was the spot to take a back — David Montgomery, De'Andre Swift, Skattebo all sitting there — and instead they don't take another RB until the 11th, stuck with Javonte and Achane, and Achane's a little boy with injury risk. Then big punts on receivers i don't even think are good (Matthew Golden and another flyer) when they should've been taking RB. Probably regretting Tyler Warren already — huge fall at tight end, they even got Juwan Johnson in the 15th who might be better. Messy. Nothing they excel at — QBs mid, receivers good-not-great, RBs solid. C+.
startable value (all bars share one scale)league median for that positionnumber atop bar = this team's projected points#rank across 12 · ■top 3 ■middle ■bottom 3
QBBTrevor Lawrence/Kyler, epitome of averageRBBlacking, at bestWRB+ARSB/Nabers/Golden/Egbuka, a lot of capital on injured guysTEB+Tyler Warren, maybe generous given the Colts
1.10Disappointment AllStars (Ahmad & Josh)
tapped in, actually
B #7startable1978
R1·10Jonathan TaylorRBIND · 256
R2·15Saquon BarkleyRBPHI · 229
R3·34Chris OlaveWRNO · 195
R4·39George PickensWRDAL · 206
R5·58Matthew StaffordQBLAR · 282
R6·63Jared GoffQBDET · 284
R8·87Carnell TateWRTEN · 145
R9·106Jacory Croskey-MerrittRBWAS · 119
R10·111Xavier WorthyWRKC · 135
R11·130Tyler AllgeierRBARI · 74
R12·135Keaton MitchellRBLAC · 89
R13·154Jonah ColemanRBDEN · 60
R14·159Isaiah LikelyTENYG · 126
R15·178Malik WashingtonWRMIA · 107
R16·183Kirk CousinsQBLV · 41
Ahmad said he was quitting / mentally checked out, but he looks pretty tapped in — good sync between Josh and Ahmad on live draft. Don't know if they were targeting Jonathan Taylor at 10; that's around where i got less excited in the first round, but he's a fine, still-elite back. They're happy with Saquon in the second — double RB probably feels good, even if the later-round receivers were better values than the later-round backs.
Point proven: they go Chris Olave at 3.10, George Pickens keeper in the 4th, then Carnell Tate in the 8th (sketchy) and Xavier Worthy in the 10th — WR3 spot's a little thin, but that's the easiest position to plug, especially down a 7th. The one mistake: Matthew Stafford in the 5th (liked it) and Jared Goff in the 6th — Ahmad gets both former Rams QBs, maybe this settles which one he actually likes, big Goff stan and Stafford hater. Would've liked one more receiver and QB punted a little later. Punting tight end with Isaiah Likely in the 14th was the right call — an easy way to make up for less capital. RBs more stable than Chan's. B.
startable value (all bars share one scale)league median for that positionnumber atop bar = this team's projected points#rank across 12 · ■top 3 ■middle ■bottom 3
QBBStafford + Goff, the ex-Rams pairRBASaquon + JTWRB-Olave/Pickens/Tate, lackingTEB-Isaiah Likely, solid 14th-rounder
1.11PUKACHU (Choi)
drafted from an Uber, still a B+
B+ #8startable1974
R1·11James CookRBBUF · 247
R2·14Justin JeffersonWRMIN · 205
R3·35Caleb WilliamsQBCHI · 296
R4·38Dak PrescottQBDAL · 304
R5·59TreVeyon HendersonRBNE · 154
R6·62Terry McLaurinWRWAS · 177
R7·83Brian ThomasWRJAX · 164
R8·86Tucker KraftTEGB · 141
R9·107J.K. DobbinsRBDEN · 147
R10·110Josh DownsWRIND · 137
R11·131Deebo SamuelWRSF · 129
R12·134Woody MarksRBHOU · 75
R13·155Ja'Kobi LaneWRBAL · 87
R14·158Houston TexansDEFHOU · —
R15·179Jason MyersKSEA · —
R16·182Alvin KamaraRBNO · 54
Give the reigning champ some leniency — dude drafted from mobile, in an Uber, during an immigration thing. Dedication's impressive, so any bad things get tempered. Love the open: James Cook, Justin Jefferson, two skill players, leaves the rest wide open. Caleb Williams keeper at 3.11, sweet. Kind of like the Dak pick — feels bad to go off-skill there, but Dak's a reliable QB. Then RB/WR again — Terry McLaurin, good — before Brian Thomas Jr at 7.11, which he doesn't see; didn't think that was a Choi type of player until i remembered he loves receivers that do nothing on the field. Perfect fit.
Tucker Kraft at 8 is suspect off the ACL and high for a TE, don't love it. JK Dobbins mid. Josh Downs at 10 nice. Then another do-nothing receiver in Deebo, maybe revived back in San Francisco — last time Choi had him was on the Niners doing nothing, so welcome home. Woody Marks in the 12th feels like a steal. Solid draft from an airport, no real mistakes, no big wins. Probably the best QB room in the league right now — Caleb/Dak might even be better than Salmaan's Hurts/Mahomes since nobody else went early QB that heavy. B+.
Choi drafted straight down ADP — most disciplined board in the league (8.7 off ADP), no reaches, no swings, chalk the whole way. No surprise from a guy doing it while detained at immigration. Hard to get cute with the board when you're not even sure you're getting back in the country.
startable value (all bars share one scale)league median for that positionnumber atop bar = this team's projected points#rank across 12 · ■top 3 ■middle ■bottom 3
QBA-Caleb/Dak, always loved those twoRBBCook/Henderson/Dobbins/Marks, Henderson's the RB2 on his own teamWRBJefferson/McLaurin/BTJ/Downs/Deebo, not that excitedTEB+Tucker Kraft, if healthy
1.12Luck of the irish (Matt)
pleasantly not-retarded
B #11startable1969
R1·12CeeDee LambWRDAL · 224
R2·13Justin HerbertQBLAC · 292
R3·36Kenneth WalkerRBKC · 226
R4·37Travis EtienneRBNO · 191
R5·60Jordan LoveQBGB · 278
R6·61Rome OdunzeWRCHI · 174
R7·84Tony PollardRBTEN · 147
R8·85Dalton KincaidTEBUF · 131
R9·108Jayden ReedWRGB · 164
R10·109Quentin JohnstonWRLAC · 135
R11·132Brandon AubreyKDAL · —
R12·133Kyle PittsTEATL · 139
R13·156Travis HunterWRJAX · 79
R14·157Emmett JohnsonRBKC · 60
R15·180Baltimore RavensDEFBAL · —
R16·181Tank DellWRHOU · 43
At this point i'm desensitized, was getting ready for something retarded — pleasantly surprised nothing was out of line. Used a first-round pick on a first-round-worthy player, solid base. Justin Herbert as the 4th QB off the board, not egregious. First reach was Travis Etienne at 37 (−21), round-and-a-half early, but if you're a believer you're a believer. Tony Pollard a little early in the 8th, but there's history there with the JT trade years ago, soft affinity.
Really like the stacks — Quentin Johnston in the 10th as a Herbert stack, both Chargers, feels intentional this time, like Irish actually put research in, with Jayden Reed in the 9th on top. Kyle Pitts in the 12th (+55) one of the biggest values in the draft, went at 110, projected ~75. Would've been even better if he didn't burn capital on Dalton Kincaid in the 8th — could've had another skill guy. Only actual bad pick is Travis Hunter, reported to play like two snaps of offense in the preseason, probably a quick drop. Team doesn't look bad — just want one more RB3 instead of Pollard. But there's nobody easy in this league anymore. This is bullshit. B.
Give Matt this — Sleeper had him 2nd-longest on the clock (48s median), so maybe the old dog was actually trying this year. Then again, maybe not: he still posted the single worst average AND median pick-distance off ADP in the league (21.1 / 17.6). Old dog, only so many new tricks — took his sweet time and reached on everyone anyway.
startable value (all bars share one scale)league median for that positionnumber atop bar = this team's projected points#rank across 12 · ■top 3 ■middle ■bottom 3
QBB+Justin HerbertRBBKenneth Walker/Etienne/Pollard, room to growWRB-Odunze/Reed/Johnston, young potentialTEB+like Dalton Kincaid
Around the boardsteals, reaches, and the superflex tax
- Real steal of the draft: Josh Jacobs to Salmaan, +82 (holdout caveat and all). After that the entire value tier is tight ends sliding a round — Kyle Pitts (+55), Harold Fannin (+30).
- Biggest reach: Daniel Jones at 70 (−38), and the whole reach list is quarterbacks. The superflex tax is real — teams paying 20+ spots early for QB12 through QB24.
- The QB run: 32 QBs total, twelve gone by pick 48 (Allen 4, Burrow 7, Lamar 8… Mahomes 48). Eight of twelve teams drafted three QBs. Nobody got four.
- The tight end cliff: McBride first off at 25 (Salmaan), i took Bowers at 28, and only 16 TEs went all night — which is exactly why Pitts and Fannin were the draft's best non-keeper values.
The IST groups (new this year)
For scheduling purposes we're introducing the in-season tournament groups. Had an idea myself but Ahmad did a more inclusive, more thematic job, so — thanks Ahmad.
Group 1 — Singles Inferno. Shout-out to the single men like me: me, Hunter, Salmaan, and Belling & John. Throw us four on a Netflix dating show and it hits every diversity requirement — one brown boy, one Asian, one true white man, and a Jew. Skip the Jew and you've got two white boys. America's cup of tea. The women would be terrorized. We'll at least find out which of us is best at fantasy.
Group 2 — the Dinks. For my wifed-up boys, no kids, just basking in millennial wealth, minimal expenses. Irish (with Lindsay, no ring but together forever), Chan (just engaged), AB & Blair (married this October), and Amato & Kerry — Amato married a while, Kerry doing god knows what, should be putting a ring on it soon. These are the softest guys in the league — no kids, not on life hard mode, not really enjoying the field either. Just mid-tier guys coasting. This is the retard division. Minimal dogs. More of an "oh my god you guys are doing so good, sweetie" type of thing.
Group 3 — the Daddies. Eric (newborn), Ahmad (almost a year in), Choi (later this winter). And you're wondering what Bhuh and Jordan are doing here — not just thrown in. If you haven't heard, Jordan got posted to a Hot Guys of Penmar video that cross-posted to gay TikTok as Daddies of Penmar, so the next closest thing to a daddy i've got is Jordan, unfortunately. This should be a stomping ground for them. Back in the day i used to think a baby waking you at 3am for waiver wires was a buff — no longer, but at least they'll be tapped in middle of the night. Might even get Choi up in standard fantasy hours now that he's in Singapore. We'll see who's got the biggest dad dick — by tenure hopefully Eric, but the gays have been stroking Jordan's metaphorical dad dick to a competitive level.
Week 1 preview + season rivalries
Week 1 i just hit last year's championship-week matchups. My gay-ass company blocked Claude on my phone so this is off the top of my head.
- Choi/Jordan-Bhuh — last year's finale, both with full draft capital. Marked as a rivalry, so twice this year. One of my favorites, not just for the rematch but because now we get the competing-model bit: Anthropic-Bhuh vs ChatGPT-Choi. Wouldn't be surprised if Bhuh hops to OpenAI himself before the season ends.
- Me vs AB (third-place game rematch) — used to be a real landslide of me running him down and getting his daddy bits; swung in AB's favor lately, most importantly the third-place win last year when there was money on it. I've got him as a rival this year — not for the third-place game, but out of internal bitterness watching him get last on the exam. Be a little embarrassing to get 2-0'd and make our all-time worse than it already is.
- Salmaan vs Amato — Toilet Bowl rematch. Not much beef, but ever since John brought Belling in, those two have been tuck-and-rolling like Amato and Kerry. Not a rivalry going forward, just their one matchup. Would've been really funny for Belling to arrive the year John lost.
Rivalries (four per team, twice a year):
- Eric vs Irish — really just a one-way beef. All-time's like 5-nothing Irish, but this is pure Eric boogeyman: one of my favorite people to talk shit about how much Irish sucks at fantasy despite watching so much football and getting clowned every year. The right level of justice for talking shit behind someone's back.
- Chan vs Kerry/Amato — Chan's only been in four years and somehow has a 6-0 record against Kerry, the last undefeated head-to-head streak in the league. And now the receipt on the Amato half: Chan's 3-1 against Amato's old team — back when Amato ran his own shop before defecting onto Kerry's roster (Kerry beat him 3-1 too, which probably explains the merger). So Chan's not quite undefeated against the pairing — Amato stole one in the regular season before Chan closed him out in the playoffs. The daddy narrative for AB is almost over; it'd be fitting for the two butch dykes to adopt two retarded little foster children. Maybe that's where the storyline goes.
- Eric (Brunts) vs AB — my favorite rivalry in the league and the one I'm most invested in. Eric sits 6-1 on AB, got his first-ever win off him just last year but the numbers are still crushing. Brunts is AB's boogie monster — chicken-or-egg whether Bruns was always the boogie monster or the Boogie Monster just hopped on an Eric team already smashing. Either way it's a one-way affair, and really it's just a competition to settle which is the more athletic white.
- AB vs Hunter — the most-played head-to-head in the league, 11 meetings, AB up 8-3, the most wins anybody has on anybody and the closest to a clean 10. Hard to even call it a rivalry — AB's usually a little intimidated by whites with more athletic ability than him, so this is more of a tune-up for the real one above.
- Derrick vs Hunter — note the theme: Hunter talks the most and gets owned by the two quiet guys. Derrick owns Hunter just like AB does. Should be a defining year for Cheeks to prove he's more than a fringe playoff team.
- Bhuh/Jordan vs Choi — the AI model war (Anthropic-Bhuh vs ChatGPT-Choi), and one of the closest series in the league at 4-4. Unexpected rivals, but everything points to it being obvious they should've been.
- Salmaan vs Irish — Saul's 5-0 on Irish. Is going undefeated on Irish really an accomplishment? Most would say no — except when you consider how bad Saul's been the last couple years. A major loser still finding a way to keep an undefeated record on somebody: all the more impressive.
- Me vs Tsao — we're tied for all-time wins in the league, so every year is a quiet competition for a title that's effectively meaningless. But when you never win anything in this league you hang yourself on moral victories. Probably won't win anything again this year, so at least one of us comes out with all-time wins — something to cry back to when Hunter inevitably does the ring thing and runs the classic Shaq argument: how many rings?
Where everyone actually standsstartable value
Forget who hoarded the most bodies. This is each team's best startable core only — top 2 QBs, 3 RBs, 4 WRs, 1 TE, scored on 2026 season projections in our half-PPR settings. Draft eight running backs and only your three best count; the rest is bench decoration. It's the cleanest read on where everyone actually sits relative to each other — and it's a lot tighter than the position-room grades make it look.
Tier 1ranks 1–2 · the top shelf
1very chinese time of lifeQB 582 · RB 674 · WR 628 · TE 1882072
2Mature MenQB 540 · RB 625 · WR 744 · TE 1382048
Tier 2ranks 3–6 · in the hunt
3Team ABQB 582 · RB 583 · WR 697 · TE 1582020
4DoubleDyke HotelQB 576 · RB 515 · WR 749 · TE 1602000
5Lil_fellatio69QB 568 · RB 589 · WR 716 · TE 1261998
6YCheeks InshallahQB 580 · RB 543 · WR 734 · TE 1321990
Tier 3ranks 7–12 · uphill from here
7Disappointment AllStarsQB 567 · RB 605 · WR 680 · TE 1261978
8PUKACHUQB 600 · RB 549 · WR 684 · TE 1411974
9Commissioner NegooyenQB 605 · RB 482 · WR 684 · TE 2041973
10Korean robert deniroQB 587 · RB 539 · WR 702 · TE 1431972
11Luck of the irishQB 570 · RB 564 · WR 696 · TE 1391969
12mid guy tsaoQB 523 · RB 539 · WR 728 · TE 1731964
Draft awards
[not recorded — assembled from the grades handed out above and the ADP sheet; punch up / add your "most scared of" and bold prediction]
- Best overall draft: very chinese time of life (Salmaan) — the only A, and the league's best value at +9.9 mean Δ, keepers removed. Rep as value king survives the keeper scrub.
- Worst overall draft: DoubleDyke Hotel — the lone C+, a middle-rounds QB-QB-TE mess that ignored RB until the 11th.
- Best keeper: Bucky Irving, Team AB — a top-50 back held at round 14 (+112). Nobody's close.
- Reached the most: your commissioner, −24.6. Live by the reach.
- Team i'm most scared of: [your call — Salmaan's RB trio if Jacobs reports, or the Bhuh/Jordan swag-receiver build.]
- Bold prediction: [your call — Lil_fellatio first-to-last for a third straight year, or Bhuh jumps companies before the playoffs.]